Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000102 0.000112 0.000123 0.000136 0.000150 0.000165 0.000183
2026-02-08 0.000081 0.000096 0.000113 0.000134 0.000160 0.000190 0.000227
2026-02-15 0.000067 0.000084 0.000104 0.000131 0.000165 0.000208 0.000265
2026-02-22 0.000059 0.000077 0.000100 0.000132 0.000175 0.000231 0.000310
2026-03-01 0.000054 0.000073 0.000098 0.000135 0.000186 0.000256 0.000360
2026-03-08 0.000048 0.000067 0.000093 0.000131 0.000188 0.000268 0.000393
2026-03-15 0.000043 0.000061 0.000087 0.000127 0.000187 0.000276 0.000420
2026-03-22 0.000040 0.000058 0.000085 0.000128 0.000195 0.000297 0.000468
2026-03-29 0.000037 0.000056 0.000084 0.000130 0.000203 0.000319 0.000520
2026-04-05 0.000034 0.000053 0.000081 0.000128 0.000205 0.000331 0.000557
2026-04-12 0.000032 0.000050 0.000079 0.000127 0.000210 0.000348 0.000604
2026-04-19 0.000030 0.000047 0.000076 0.000125 0.000212 0.000360 0.000643
2026-04-26 0.000028 0.000045 0.000074 0.000126 0.000218 0.000380 0.000699
2026-05-03 0.000026 0.000043 0.000071 0.000124 0.000220 0.000394 0.000746
2026-05-10 0.000024 0.000040 0.000068 0.000121 0.000219 0.000403 0.000786
2026-05-17 0.000023 0.000039 0.000067 0.000122 0.000227 0.000427 0.000859
2026-05-24 0.000022 0.000038 0.000067 0.000124 0.000237 0.000458 0.000948
2026-05-31 0.000020 0.000036 0.000064 0.000121 0.000236 0.000466 0.000992
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000034 0.000061 0.000117 0.000232 0.000469 0.001023
2026-06-14 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000118 0.000239 0.000495 0.001109
2026-06-21 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000120 0.000248 0.000524 0.001205
2026-06-28 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000118 0.000248 0.000536 0.001263
2026-07-05 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000117 0.000252 0.000557 0.001346